The Future of Aid 2: The Big Push
Author: Tim Harford and Michael Klein Date: 3/1/2005 (PDF, 200KB)
Imagine that you are in 2030, reviewing the aid industry over the past 25 years. This Note offers one possible scenario—responses of the aid industry to falling numbers of people in absolute poverty and to the growing ability of poor countries to borrow from the market. A companion Note offers a second scenario. Organizations use scenario planning to prepare for the very long term. Good scenarios are plausible stories about the future, recognizable in the trends of today. The ideal scenario encourages thinking about possible responses. It is in this spirit that this scenario is offered.
For more information on this topic please see our special feature on the Future of Aid.